- 新中國70年與新時代經濟學的歷史使命
- 蘇劍主編
- 1422字
- 2021-06-03 10:35:02
參考文獻
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(1)王玨,中國人民大學經濟學院經濟史教研室教授。
(2)有論者也許會指出,在這一國際化金本位時代是否存在套利的可能?我們可以假設1法郎兌換0.01盎司黃金,這就意味著法國財政部隨時準備以1盎司的黃金買賣100法郎。如果美國財政部隨時準備以1盎司的黃金買賣50美元,則就意味著1美元必定交換2法郎。假設市場匯率是1美元兌換3法郎,在這一情況下,套利者可以用100美元兌換300法郎,利用這300法郎從法國中央銀行購買3盎司黃金。將這3盎司黃金帶到美國,并且可以以150美元的價格賣給美國財政部,獲利50美元。其結果就是,減少法國貨幣供給(法國黃金儲備減少)并且增加美國貨幣供給(美國黃金儲備增加)。但是,把黃金從法國帶到美國意味著套利者需要承擔國家運輸的成本。在這一時期,橫穿大西洋運輸黃金的成本是高昂的,國際金本位機制把匯率保持在運輸成本所決定的范圍之內。實際上,盡管存在套利的可能性以及局部范圍內的匯率波動,國際金本位制度防止了大范圍的且持久性的匯率波動。參見EICHENGREEN,BARRR(eds).The Gold Standard in Theory and History[M].New York:Methuen, 1985.