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參考文獻(xiàn)

[1]蔡昉、陸旸:《推進(jìn)改革,提高潛在增長率》,《比較》2013年第1期。

[2]都陽、陸旸:《中國的自然失業(yè)率水平及其含義》,《世界經(jīng)濟(jì)》2011年第4期。

[3]郭志剛:《2011—2050年中國人口預(yù)測》,工作論文。

[4]陸旸、蔡昉:《人口結(jié)構(gòu)變化對潛在增長率的影響:中國和日本的比較》,《世界經(jīng)濟(jì)》2014年第1期。

[5]Cai, Fang and Lu Yang, “Population Change and Resulting Slowdown in Potential GDP Growth in China”, China & World Economy, Vol.21, Issue 2, 2013, pp. 1-14.

[6]Eichengreen, Barry, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin, “When fast growing economies slow down: International evidence and implications for China, ”NBER Working Paper No.16919, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, 2011.

[7]Kuijs, Louis, China Through 2020- A Macroeconomic Scenario, World Bank China Research Working Paper No.9, 2010.

[8]Foster, Lucia John Haltiwanger, and Chad Syverson, “Reallocation, Firm Turnover, and Efficiency: Selection on Productivity or Profitability?”, American Economic Review, Vol.98, 2008, pp.394-425.

[9]Foster, Lucia John Haltiwanger and C. J. Krizan, Aggregate productivity Growth:Lessons from Microeconomic Evidence, in New Developments in Productivity Analysis, NBER/University of Chicago Press, 2001.

[10]Fogel, Robert W. “The Impact of the Asian Miracle on the Theory of Economic Growth”, NBER Working Paper 14967, 2009.

[11]Hsieh, Chang-Tai and Peter J. Klenow, “Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. CXXIV, Issue 4, November, 2009, pp.1403-1448.

[12]Hayashi, Fumio and Edward C. Prescott, “The 1990s in Japan: A Lost Decade”, Review of Economic Dynamics, 2002,5(1): 206-35.

[13]IMF(International Monetary Fund), “People's Republic of China: 2014 Article IV, Consultation—Staff Report”, IMF Country Report No.14/235, 2014.

[14]Lu, Yang and Cai Fang, “China's Shift from the Demographic Dividend to the Reform Dividend, in Ligang Song, Ross Garnaut, and Cai Fang(eds)Deepening Reform for China's Long Term Growth and Development, ANU E Press, 2014.

[15]Pritchett, Lant and Lawrence H. Summers, Asiaphoria Meets Regression to the Mean, NBER Working Paper, No. 20573, 2014. http://www.nber.org/papers/w20573.

[16]Williamson, Jeffrey, “Growth, Distribution and Demography: Some Lessons from History”, NBER Working Paper Series, No.6244, 1997.

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