摘要

摘要：2015年上半年，中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟運行呈現(xiàn)了“中高速、優(yōu)結(jié)構(gòu)、新動力、多挑戰(zhàn)”的特征，第一、二季度全部工業(yè)企業(yè)增加值增速分別為6.1%和6%，但調(diào)整取得明顯進展，體現(xiàn)了從“舊常態(tài)”向“新常態(tài)”的逐步過渡。下半年，工業(yè)經(jīng)濟面臨諸多發(fā)展機遇，也面臨很多挑戰(zhàn)，預(yù)計工業(yè)經(jīng)濟形勢將繼續(xù)好轉(zhuǎn)，第三、四季度全部工業(yè)企業(yè)增速目標應(yīng)分別為6%—6.5%、6.5%—7%，穩(wěn)中求進依然是工業(yè)經(jīng)濟運行的主旋律。為推動工業(yè)經(jīng)濟平穩(wěn)健康發(fā)展，工業(yè)經(jīng)濟政策應(yīng)在多目標中尋找平衡，既要保持較快增長速度，避免工業(yè)經(jīng)濟過快下滑帶來的各種沖擊，也要加快轉(zhuǎn)型升級，提高增長質(zhì)量。應(yīng)注重供給和需求、短期和長期、宏觀和微觀多重政策的組合使用，積極貫徹落實《中國制造2025》，推動工業(yè)經(jīng)濟平穩(wěn)較快增長，為“十三五”經(jīng)濟發(fā)展奠定更好的基礎(chǔ)。

Abstract: In the first half year of 2015, China industrial economy takes on the character of“medium speed, ameliorative structure, new power, and diversified challenges”. The industrial economic growth rate of the first quarter and the second quarter is 6.1% and 6% respectively, but the adjustment of industrial structure makes big progress, and the dynamics of industrial economy become more balanced. China industrial economic growth will face some opportunities but also some difficulties in the second half year of 2015. We estimate that industrial economy will continue to improve, and the goal of the growth rate of the third quarter and the fourth quarter will at the range from 6% to 6.5% and the range from 6.5% to 7% respectively. Maintaining stability is still the theme of industrial economic operation. To promote stable and healthy development of industrial economy, industrial economic policy should find a balance in the multi-objetive. It should maintain faster growth and aviod shocks of consequences of a rapid decline in industrial economy. It also should improve the upgrade of industry and the quality of growth. Policy mix of long-run policies and shortrun policies, macro policy and industrial policy, and supply policy and demand policy, should mesh together. The strategy of“China manufacturing 2025”should be implement actively, so to promote industrial economic growth, and lay a better foundation for the 13thFive Year Plan.